Feature
Forecast board with a public calibration record
Falsifiable questions about decisions and events, live probabilities, dated deadlines — resolutions kept on the record with their proof.
Live from the board
68 open questions, soonest deadlines first.
Resolved on the record
Resolution receipt
Will incumbent President Sadyr Japarov submit his nomination documents to Kyrgyzstan's CEC before the candidate-nomination window closes (12–13 November 2026)?
Сегодня, 10 ноября, Президент Кыргызской Республики Садыр Нургожоевич Жапаров обратился в Центральную комиссию по выборам и проведению референдумов Кыргызской Республики с заявлением о выдвижении своей кандидатуры на должность Президента Кыргызской Республики в порядке самовыдвижения.
Proved by Центральная комиссия по выборам и проведению референдумов КР (shailoo.gov.kg).
Read the proof68
Open questions
deadlines first, probabilities dated
14
Closing next 30 days
the near horizon, live
3
Resolved on record
outcome kept with its proof
Every question carries its probability series — each move kept with the check that wrote it.
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FAQ
What makes a question falsifiable?
It names its target, a deadline and the condition that decides it. The condition is public on every forecast page.
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The outcome is recorded with the source quote that proved it. Resolutions stay on the record.
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