Open
/Decision/closes 24 Nov 2026 15 Nov 2026, 06:30 UTC

Jordan's draft anti-terrorism amendments will NOT be referred to the House of Representatives by 22 November 2026

28%probability

as of 15 Nov 2026, 06:30 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if, as of 24 November 2026, no dated report, official statement or House record documents the referral of the Cabinet's 8 November 2026 anti-terrorism amendment package to the House of Representatives, or if the government publicly postpones the referral past 22 November 2026.

Branch of Will Jordan's government refer its draft anti-terrorism law amendments to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026?(Open)

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 28% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 28%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

Target

Decision

01a1dd79-538a-747a-9894-300399429e11

Open decision

Discussion

0/2000

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