Will Jordan's government refer its draft anti-terrorism law amendments to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026?
as of 15 Nov 2026, 06:29 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if a dated report, official statement (Petra / Jordan Prime Ministry) or House record shows the Cabinet's anti-terrorism amendment package (the "first package" decided at the 8 November 2026 Cabinet session, raising minimum terrorism penalties from 5 to 10/15 years and barring early release) was transmitted/referred to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026. NO if no such referral is documented by the deadline, or if the government publicly postpones the referral past 22 November 2026.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 72% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 72%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 24 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenJordan's draft anti-terrorism amendments will NOT be referred to the House of Representatives by 22 November 2026
YES if, as of 24 November 2026, no dated report, official statement or House record documents the referral of the Cabinet's 8 November 2026 anti-terrorism amendment package to the House of Representatives, or if the government publicly postpones the referral past 22 November 2026.
28%probability
- closes 24 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenJordan's draft anti-terrorism amendments will NOT be referred to the House of Representatives by 22 November 2026
YES if, as of 24 November 2026, no dated report, official statement or House record documents the referral of the Cabinet's 8 November 2026 anti-terrorism amendment package to the House of Representatives, or if the government publicly postpones the referral past 22 November 2026.
28%probability
Target
Discussion
Related forecasts
Same kind only, ranked by embedding similarity to this record.