Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)?
as of 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if no second-reading vote on the 2027–2029 federal budget package has taken place by 23:59 MSK on 20 November 2026 — i.e. the 19 November plenary is cancelled, the item is pulled from the agenda, the reading is rescheduled to a later date, or the package is returned to first reading. Resolution source: dated RIA/Interfax/TASS/Vedomosti/Kommersant report or the Duma's published agenda for 19–20 November 2026.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 10% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 10%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)?
YES if no second-reading vote on the 2027–2029 federal budget package has taken place by 23:59 MSK on 20 November 2026 — i.e. the 19 November plenary is cancelled, the item is pulled from the agenda, the reading is rescheduled to a later date, or the package is returned to first reading. Resolution source: dated RIA/Interfax/TASS/Vedomosti/Kommersant report or the Duma's published agenda for 19–20 November 2026.
10%probability
- this page closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)?
YES if no second-reading vote on the 2027–2029 federal budget package has taken place by 23:59 MSK on 20 November 2026 — i.e. the 19 November plenary is cancelled, the item is pulled from the agenda, the reading is rescheduled to a later date, or the package is returned to first reading. Resolution source: dated RIA/Interfax/TASS/Vedomosti/Kommersant report or the Duma's published agenda for 19–20 November 2026.
10%probability