Will the first reading of bill No. 1101893-8 slip past 18 November 2026 but still be adopted by the Duma on or before 31 December 2026?
as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if no first-reading vote on bill No. 1101893-8 occurs on or before 18 November 2026, but the State Duma does adopt it in the first reading at a later plenary session on or before 31 December 2026 (dated report of the vote).
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 10% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 10%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 31 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill the first reading of bill No. 1101893-8 slip past 18 November 2026 but still be adopted by the Duma on or before 31 December 2026?
YES if no first-reading vote on bill No. 1101893-8 occurs on or before 18 November 2026, but the State Duma does adopt it in the first reading at a later plenary session on or before 31 December 2026 (dated report of the vote).
10%probability
- this page closes 31 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill the first reading of bill No. 1101893-8 slip past 18 November 2026 but still be adopted by the Duma on or before 31 December 2026?
YES if no first-reading vote on bill No. 1101893-8 occurs on or before 18 November 2026, but the State Duma does adopt it in the first reading at a later plenary session on or before 31 December 2026 (dated report of the vote).
10%probability