Open
/Event/closes 20 Nov 2026 13 Nov 2026, 12:04 UTC

Will Anthropic price its IPO on 18 November 2026 but not begin Nasdaq trading by 20 November 2026?

10%probability

as of 13 Nov 2026, 12:04 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

Yes if Anthropic sets a final offer price on 18 November 2026 (or later) but no ANT shares trade on Nasdaq by 23:59:59Z on 20 November 2026. No if trading begins by then, or if no pricing occurs at all.

Branch of Will Anthropic's shares begin trading on Nasdaq (ticker ANT) on or before 20 November 2026, as scheduled for 19 November?(Open)

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 10% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 10%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

Target

Event

01a1cc27-f116-7a5e-b695-e7f110d87b60

Open event