Will Anthropic's shares begin trading on Nasdaq (ticker ANT) on or before 20 November 2026, as scheduled for 19 November?
as of 13 Nov 2026, 12:04 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if Anthropic Class A common stock opens for trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under ticker ANT on 19 November 2026, or on 20 November 2026 if the debut slips by one day. No if the offering is postponed, withdrawn or priced but not traded by 23:59:59Z on 20 November 2026.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 85% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 85%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill Anthropic price its IPO on 18 November 2026 but not begin Nasdaq trading by 20 November 2026?
Yes if Anthropic sets a final offer price on 18 November 2026 (or later) but no ANT shares trade on Nasdaq by 23:59:59Z on 20 November 2026. No if trading begins by then, or if no pricing occurs at all.
10%probability
- closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill Anthropic price its IPO on 18 November 2026 but not begin Nasdaq trading by 20 November 2026?
Yes if Anthropic sets a final offer price on 18 November 2026 (or later) but no ANT shares trade on Nasdaq by 23:59:59Z on 20 November 2026. No if trading begins by then, or if no pricing occurs at all.
10%probability