Open
/Event/closes 1 Jan 2027 12 Nov 2026, 18:08 UTC

Will MOEX's organised crypto market start slip past 1 December 2026 but still execute its first trades by 31 December 2026?

15%probability

as of 12 Nov 2026, 18:08 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if no digital-currency trade is executed on MOEX on 1 December 2026, but at least one BTC/ETH/USDT trade is executed on the MOEX platform on or before 31 December 2026.

Branch of Will the Moscow Exchange execute its first organised digital-currency trades on 1 December 2026, as announced?(Open)

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 15% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 15%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

Target

Event

01a1cea3-8448-748c-8597-5c2d3f90790d

Open event