Open
/Event/closes 20 Nov 2026 12 Nov 2026, 18:08 UTC

Will Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?

5%probability

as of 12 Nov 2026, 18:08 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if, on or before 19 November 2026, Rockstar Games or Take-Two publicly announce a new release date later than 19 November 2026 (via Rockstar channels, Take-Two IR release, or a change to the official store listings).

Branch of Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay?(Open)

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 5% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 5%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

Target

Event

01a1ca12-e37a-78d0-9746-994bb022cc4e

Open event