Will Grand Theft Auto VI launch on 19 November 2026 as scheduled, without a third delay?
as of 12 Nov 2026, 18:07 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if the game is commercially released (digital unlock and/or physical code-in-box sale) on 19 November 2026 on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S. NO if Rockstar/Take-Two announce a further delay before that date, or the launch does not occur on 19 November 2026.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 95% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 95%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?
YES if, on or before 19 November 2026, Rockstar Games or Take-Two publicly announce a new release date later than 19 November 2026 (via Rockstar channels, Take-Two IR release, or a change to the official store listings).
5%probability
- closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill Rockstar/Take-Two announce a third delay of GTA VI before 19 November 2026, pushing the launch past that date?
YES if, on or before 19 November 2026, Rockstar Games or Take-Two publicly announce a new release date later than 19 November 2026 (via Rockstar channels, Take-Two IR release, or a change to the official store listings).
5%probability