Will Putin and Zelenskyy hold a face-to-face meeting in Miami during the 14–15 December 2026 G20 summit?
as of 12 Nov 2026, 12:08 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if Putin and Zelenskyy are both physically present in Miami/Doral and meet in person on 14 or 15 December 2026 (or in a documented sideline meeting during the summit window). No if either is absent, or if they do not meet despite both attending.
Branch of Will Vladimir Putin attend the G20 leaders' summit in Miami/Doral in person on 14–15 December 2026?(Open)
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 7% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 12 Nov 2026, 12:08 UTC
Probability updated.
7%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 16 Dec 2026 OpenWill Putin and Zelenskyy hold a face-to-face meeting in Miami during the 14–15 December 2026 G20 summit?
Yes if Putin and Zelenskyy are both physically present in Miami/Doral and meet in person on 14 or 15 December 2026 (or in a documented sideline meeting during the summit window). No if either is absent, or if they do not meet despite both attending.
7%probability
- this page closes 16 Dec 2026 OpenWill Putin and Zelenskyy hold a face-to-face meeting in Miami during the 14–15 December 2026 G20 summit?
Yes if Putin and Zelenskyy are both physically present in Miami/Doral and meet in person on 14 or 15 December 2026 (or in a documented sideline meeting during the summit window). No if either is absent, or if they do not meet despite both attending.
7%probability