Will a federal funding lapse begin on 12 December 2026 because no further funding measure is enacted by 11 December 2026?
as of 12 Nov 2026, 00:09 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if no continuing resolution or FY2027 appropriations act is law by 11 December 2026 and a lapse in appropriations begins at 12:01 ET on 12 December 2026 (agencies issue shutdown notices / OPM guidance).
Branch of Will Congress and the President enact further federal funding legislation by 11 December 2026, avoiding a funding lapse on 12 December 2026?(Open)
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 20% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 12 Nov 2026, 00:09 UTC
Probability updated.
20%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 13 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill a federal funding lapse begin on 12 December 2026 because no further funding measure is enacted by 11 December 2026?
Yes if no continuing resolution or FY2027 appropriations act is law by 11 December 2026 and a lapse in appropriations begins at 12:01 ET on 12 December 2026 (agencies issue shutdown notices / OPM guidance).
20%probability
- this page closes 13 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill a federal funding lapse begin on 12 December 2026 because no further funding measure is enacted by 11 December 2026?
Yes if no continuing resolution or FY2027 appropriations act is law by 11 December 2026 and a lapse in appropriations begins at 12:01 ET on 12 December 2026 (agencies issue shutdown notices / OPM guidance).
20%probability