Will Congress and the President enact further federal funding legislation by 11 December 2026, avoiding a funding lapse on 12 December 2026?
as of 12 Nov 2026, 00:09 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if any continuing resolution or FY2027 appropriations act covering the affected agencies is enacted and signed on or before 11 December 2026, so that no lapse in appropriations begins at 12:01 ET on 12 December 2026. No if no such measure is law by then and OPM/agency contingency notices or an OMB determination record a funding lapse beginning 12 December 2026.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 80% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 80%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 13 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill a federal funding lapse begin on 12 December 2026 because no further funding measure is enacted by 11 December 2026?
Yes if no continuing resolution or FY2027 appropriations act is law by 11 December 2026 and a lapse in appropriations begins at 12:01 ET on 12 December 2026 (agencies issue shutdown notices / OPM guidance).
20%probability
- closes 13 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill a federal funding lapse begin on 12 December 2026 because no further funding measure is enacted by 11 December 2026?
Yes if no continuing resolution or FY2027 appropriations act is law by 11 December 2026 and a lapse in appropriations begins at 12:01 ET on 12 December 2026 (agencies issue shutdown notices / OPM guidance).
20%probability