Will Gibran Rakabuming Raka formally resign as Vice-President of Indonesia before the DPR adopts the HMP, on or before 17 December 2026?
as of 11 Nov 2026, 12:11 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if Gibran submits a formal written resignation as Vice-President (not merely a stated intention reported by the State Secretariat) and it takes effect before any DPR plenary adoption of the HMP, on or before 17 December 2026.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 15% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 11 Nov 2026, 12:11 UTC
Probability updated.
15%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 17 Dec 2026 OpenWill Gibran Rakabuming Raka formally resign as Vice-President of Indonesia before the DPR adopts the HMP, on or before 17 December 2026?
Yes if Gibran submits a formal written resignation as Vice-President (not merely a stated intention reported by the State Secretariat) and it takes effect before any DPR plenary adoption of the HMP, on or before 17 December 2026.
15%probability
- this page closes 17 Dec 2026 OpenWill Gibran Rakabuming Raka formally resign as Vice-President of Indonesia before the DPR adopts the HMP, on or before 17 December 2026?
Yes if Gibran submits a formal written resignation as Vice-President (not merely a stated intention reported by the State Secretariat) and it takes effect before any DPR plenary adoption of the HMP, on or before 17 December 2026.
15%probability