Open
/Decision/closes 31 Dec 2026 11 Nov 2026, 00:12 UTC

Will the AEPD decline or leave unanswered the request to suspend TikTok in Spain, so that no suspension order is issued by 31 December 2026?

88%probability

as of 11 Nov 2026, 00:12 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if by 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z the AEPD has either publicly rejected the Art. 66.1 GDPR request, or has issued no suspension/prohibition decision at all (including a decision to handle the matter through ordinary infringement proceedings instead of provisional measures).

Branch of Will Spain's data-protection agency (AEPD) order a provisional suspension of TikTok's activity in Spain on or before 31 December 2026?(Open)

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 88% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  • 11 Nov 2026, 00:12 UTC

    Probability updated.

    88%

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

Target

Decision

01a1c742-2d14-702a-b126-91c9fde9829d

Open decision