Will Spain's data-protection agency (AEPD) order a provisional suspension of TikTok's activity in Spain on or before 31 December 2026?
as of 11 Nov 2026, 00:11 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if the Agencia Española de Protección de Datos publishes a resolution or decision (e.g. under Art. 66.1 GDPR) ordering a provisional/temporary suspension or prohibition of TikTok's data processing with legal effect in Spain, on or before 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z. A request, an internal study, a referral to prosecutors, or a measure limited to individual accounts does NOT count.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 12% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 11 Nov 2026, 00:11 UTC
Probability updated.
12%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 31 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill the AEPD decline or leave unanswered the request to suspend TikTok in Spain, so that no suspension order is issued by 31 December 2026?
YES if by 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z the AEPD has either publicly rejected the Art. 66.1 GDPR request, or has issued no suspension/prohibition decision at all (including a decision to handle the matter through ordinary infringement proceedings instead of provisional measures).
88%probability
- closes 31 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill the AEPD decline or leave unanswered the request to suspend TikTok in Spain, so that no suspension order is issued by 31 December 2026?
YES if by 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z the AEPD has either publicly rejected the Art. 66.1 GDPR request, or has issued no suspension/prohibition decision at all (including a decision to handle the matter through ordinary infringement proceedings instead of provisional measures).
88%probability