Will the 26–27 November 2026 special European Council end without any new EU financing decision for Ukraine's 2027 gap, deferring it to a later meeting?
as of 10 Nov 2026, 18:11 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if the 26–27 November 2026 special European Council concludes with no political agreement on new EU financing for Ukraine's 2027 needs and the matter is explicitly left to a later European Council or to the Commission to bring forward a proposal at a future date.
Branch of Will the special European Council of 26–27 November 2026 agree new EU financing to cover Ukraine's 2027 budget shortfall?(Open)
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 65% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 10 Nov 2026, 18:11 UTC
Probability updated.
65%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 28 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill the 26–27 November 2026 special European Council end without any new EU financing decision for Ukraine's 2027 gap, deferring it to a later meeting?
Yes if the 26–27 November 2026 special European Council concludes with no political agreement on new EU financing for Ukraine's 2027 needs and the matter is explicitly left to a later European Council or to the Commission to bring forward a proposal at a future date.
65%probability
- this page closes 28 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill the 26–27 November 2026 special European Council end without any new EU financing decision for Ukraine's 2027 gap, deferring it to a later meeting?
Yes if the 26–27 November 2026 special European Council concludes with no political agreement on new EU financing for Ukraine's 2027 needs and the matter is explicitly left to a later European Council or to the Commission to bring forward a proposal at a future date.
65%probability
Target
Decision
—