Open
/Event/closes 30 Nov 2026 10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC

Will Huang decline or fail to appear, with the joint House briefing either cancelled or pushed past 30 November 2026?

55%probability

as of 10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if by 30 November 2026 the three committees have not held the joint closed-door briefing with Huang and there is no confirmed session date on or before that date (declined, deferred to December or later, or only staff/counsel engaged).

Branch of Will Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang appear in person for the joint closed-door briefing requested by three House committees (Foreign Affairs, Select China, Intelligence) on or before 30 November 2026?(Open)

Probability history

3 recorded points

now 55% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  • 10 Nov 2026, 09:11 UTC

    Probability updated.

    55%

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

Target

Event

01a1c280-dd31-7e77-acef-1dcc97db25eb

Open event