Will Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang appear in person for the joint closed-door briefing requested by three House committees (Foreign Affairs, Select China, Intelligence) on or before 30 November 2026?
as of 10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if Huang personally attends a joint closed-door session with the House Foreign Affairs, Select Committee on China and House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (or the committees publicly confirm the briefing occurred, in the requested 18 Nov slot or a rescheduled one) on or before 30 November 2026. NO if by then no such briefing has occurred, including if Huang declines, sends only counsel/company representatives, or the committees' request lapses without a session.
Probability history
3 recorded points
now 45% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 10 Nov 2026, 09:11 UTC
Probability updated.
45%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 30 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill Huang decline or fail to appear, with the joint House briefing either cancelled or pushed past 30 November 2026?
YES if by 30 November 2026 the three committees have not held the joint closed-door briefing with Huang and there is no confirmed session date on or before that date (declined, deferred to December or later, or only staff/counsel engaged).
55%probability
- closes 30 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill Huang decline or fail to appear, with the joint House briefing either cancelled or pushed past 30 November 2026?
YES if by 30 November 2026 the three committees have not held the joint closed-door briefing with Huang and there is no confirmed session date on or before that date (declined, deferred to December or later, or only staff/counsel engaged).
55%probability