Will Japarov fail to file nomination documents before the Kyrgyz CEC nomination window closes, leaving the incumbent off the 27 January 2027 ballot at the nomination stage?
as of 10 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
Yes if no dated report shows Japarov filing a self-nomination application with Kyrgyzstan's CEC by 2026-11-14T00:00Z, i.e. the nomination window closes with the incumbent not having submitted documents (as was still the case per Azattyq, published 2026-11-09).
Branch of Will incumbent President Sadyr Japarov submit his nomination documents to Kyrgyzstan's CEC before the candidate-nomination window closes (12–13 November 2026)?(Resolved)
Probability history
3 recorded points
now 8% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 10 Nov 2026, 06:06 UTC
Probability updated.
8%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 14 Nov 2026 exclusive InvalidatedWill Japarov fail to file nomination documents before the Kyrgyz CEC nomination window closes, leaving the incumbent off the 27 January 2027 ballot at the nomination stage?
Yes if no dated report shows Japarov filing a self-nomination application with Kyrgyzstan's CEC by 2026-11-14T00:00Z, i.e. the nomination window closes with the incumbent not having submitted documents (as was still the case per Azattyq, published 2026-11-09).
8%probability
- this page closes 14 Nov 2026 exclusive InvalidatedWill Japarov fail to file nomination documents before the Kyrgyz CEC nomination window closes, leaving the incumbent off the 27 January 2027 ballot at the nomination stage?
Yes if no dated report shows Japarov filing a self-nomination application with Kyrgyzstan's CEC by 2026-11-14T00:00Z, i.e. the nomination window closes with the incumbent not having submitted documents (as was still the case per Azattyq, published 2026-11-09).
8%probability