Will Georgia's Constitutional Court reject Georgian Dream's party-ban lawsuit in full by 30 June 2027, banning none of the five parties?
as of 10 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if the Constitutional Court's ruling on case legal=20319 dismisses the lawsuit entirely, leaving all five targeted parties (UNM, Coalition for Change, Strong Georgia-Lelo, Federalists, For Georgia) legally able to operate, on or before 30 June 2027. NO otherwise, including if no ruling issues by that date.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 30% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 30%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 30 Jun 2027 exclusive OpenWill Georgia's Constitutional Court reject Georgian Dream's party-ban lawsuit in full by 30 June 2027, banning none of the five parties?
YES if the Constitutional Court's ruling on case legal=20319 dismisses the lawsuit entirely, leaving all five targeted parties (UNM, Coalition for Change, Strong Georgia-Lelo, Federalists, For Georgia) legally able to operate, on or before 30 June 2027. NO otherwise, including if no ruling issues by that date.
30%probability
- this page closes 30 Jun 2027 exclusive OpenWill Georgia's Constitutional Court reject Georgian Dream's party-ban lawsuit in full by 30 June 2027, banning none of the five parties?
YES if the Constitutional Court's ruling on case legal=20319 dismisses the lawsuit entirely, leaving all five targeted parties (UNM, Coalition for Change, Strong Georgia-Lelo, Federalists, For Georgia) legally able to operate, on or before 30 June 2027. NO otherwise, including if no ruling issues by that date.
30%probability