Will Kyrgyzstan's Ala-Too Resort open the first phase of its Jyrgalan mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, as announced for 1 December?
as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if Ala-Too Resort OJSC / the Kyrgyz Cabinet opens the first phase of the Jyrgalan (Ala-Too Resort) mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026 — evidenced by a dated report of the opening ceremony or of lifts/runs operating for guests. NO if the opening is formally postponed beyond 2 December 2026 or no opening takes place by then.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 75% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 75%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 31 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill the Ala-Too Resort first-phase opening slip past 2 December 2026 but still take place on or before 31 December 2026?
YES if the first phase of Ala-Too Resort's Jyrgalan cluster is not opened to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, but a dated report shows it opening (ceremony or lifts/runs operating for guests) between 3 December and 31 December 2026.
18%probability
- closes 31 Dec 2026 exclusive OpenWill the Ala-Too Resort first-phase opening slip past 2 December 2026 but still take place on or before 31 December 2026?
YES if the first phase of Ala-Too Resort's Jyrgalan cluster is not opened to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, but a dated report shows it opening (ceremony or lifts/runs operating for guests) between 3 December and 31 December 2026.
18%probability