Open
/Decision/closes 31 Mar 2027 13 Nov 2026, 00:07 UTC

Will the Deep Blue acquisition close in Q1 2027 instead, i.e. after 31 December 2026 but on or before 31 March 2027?

30%probability

as of 13 Nov 2026, 00:07 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

Yes if Diamondback/KKR announce completion of the Five Point 70% Deep Blue acquisition between 1 January 2027 and 31 March 2027. Closing on or before 31 December 2026, or the deal being terminated, makes this NO.

Branch of Will Diamondback and KKR close their acquisition of Five Point's 70% stake in Deep Blue Midland Basin on or before 31 December 2026?(Open)

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 30% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 30%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

Target

Decision

01a1d14c-4e91-7875-be90-48cd05b1d941

Open decision