Will the Moscow City Court on 25 November 2026 leave YevroTrans chairman Igor Martyshov in pre-trial detention until 6 February 2027, dismissing the defence appeal?
as of 12 Nov 2026, 18:08 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if the Moscow City Court, at the 25 November 2026 appeal hearing, leaves in force the Meschan sky district court ruling extending Igor Martyshov's pre-trial detention to 6 February 2027 (i.e. dismisses the defence appeal and he remains in custody). NO if the appellate court overturns or varies the measure (release, transfer to house arrest, or a shorter custody term).
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 88% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 88%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 27 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill the Moscow City Court on 25 November 2026 vary Igor Martyshov's measure — releasing him or moving him to house arrest?
YES if the 25 November 2026 appellate ruling overturns the custody extension and substitutes a non-custodial measure (release, bail, or house arrest) for Martyshov.
12%probability
- closes 27 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill the Moscow City Court on 25 November 2026 vary Igor Martyshov's measure — releasing him or moving him to house arrest?
YES if the 25 November 2026 appellate ruling overturns the custody extension and substitutes a non-custodial measure (release, bail, or house arrest) for Martyshov.
12%probability