Will Kenya's Court of Appeal instead strike down section 44 of the Banking Act (removing the Cabinet Secretary's approval power) before any amending statute is enacted, on or before 31 December 2027?
as of 11 Nov 2026, 06:11 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if the Court of Appeal of Kenya delivers a judgment on or before 31 December 2027 in Kenya Bankers Association v Attorney General & Another (appeal against the High Court judgment of 11 December 2025) that declares section 44 of the Banking Act unconstitutional or otherwise removes the requirement for Cabinet Secretary approval of interest-rate and charge increases, and no amending statute has been assented to by that date.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 20% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 11 Nov 2026, 06:11 UTC
Probability updated.
20%
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- this page closes 31 Dec 2027 exclusive OpenWill Kenya's Court of Appeal instead strike down section 44 of the Banking Act (removing the Cabinet Secretary's approval power) before any amending statute is enacted, on or before 31 December 2027?
YES if the Court of Appeal of Kenya delivers a judgment on or before 31 December 2027 in Kenya Bankers Association v Attorney General & Another (appeal against the High Court judgment of 11 December 2025) that declares section 44 of the Banking Act unconstitutional or otherwise removes the requirement for Cabinet Secretary approval of interest-rate and charge increases, and no amending statute has been assented to by that date.
20%probability
- this page closes 31 Dec 2027 exclusive OpenWill Kenya's Court of Appeal instead strike down section 44 of the Banking Act (removing the Cabinet Secretary's approval power) before any amending statute is enacted, on or before 31 December 2027?
YES if the Court of Appeal of Kenya delivers a judgment on or before 31 December 2027 in Kenya Bankers Association v Attorney General & Another (appeal against the High Court judgment of 11 December 2025) that declares section 44 of the Banking Act unconstitutional or otherwise removes the requirement for Cabinet Secretary approval of interest-rate and charge increases, and no amending statute has been assented to by that date.
20%probability