Will the 2028 start of Russia's additive-production localization requirements be postponed past 1 January 2028 or withdrawn before it takes effect?
20%probability
as of 09 Nov 2026, 16:34 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if a dated official Russian source shows the entry into force moved to a date after 2028-01-01 (including later in 2028), or the requirement withdrawn/indefinitely suspended, at any point up to 2028-12-31. This refutes the parent. NO if by 2028-12-31 no dated source shows a postponement or withdrawal.
Branch of Will Russia's new localization requirements for additive production be in force on 1 January 2028, as the graph's start_date records?(Open)
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1 recorded point
now 20% · no change
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Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
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