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/Decision/closes 22 Nov 2026 15 Nov 2026, 20:44 UTC

The Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation will hold auctions for the placement of OFZ-PD 26250 and OFZ-PD 26235 issues.

82%probability

as of 15 Nov 2026, 20:44 UTC ·no change

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Resolves YES if

The Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation will hold auctions for the placement of OFZ-PD 26250 and OFZ-PD 26235 issues.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 82% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 82%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1ce92-0284-7e09-bcd7-e83cf597b7ef

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0/2000

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