Open
/Event/closes 30 Nov 2026 15 Nov 2026, 20:22 UTC

Will holders of SOBI-LEASING's defaulted bonds (series 001P-03 to 001P-07) approve the updated restructuring terms at the 24 November 2026 general meeting?

55%probability

as of 15 Nov 2026, 20:22 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if a dated disclosure by the issuer or its bondholder representative (e-disclosure.ru, rusbonds.ru, cbonds, Frank Media, abn.agency) reports that the general meetings of holders of SOBI-LEASING series 001P-03, 001P-04, 001P-05, 001P-06 and 001P-07, held by absentee ballot with votes counted on 24 November 2026, adopted the updated restructuring terms for all five series (three-quarters-of-votes threshold per issue). NO if the meetings again fail for lack of quorum, if the terms are voted down for any series, or if no such disclosure exists by 30 November 2026.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 55% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 55%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

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Target

Event

01a1e0ae-bfad-7527-b125-feba63178a1a

Open event

Discussion

0/2000

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