---
title: "Two private satellites will be launched from Vostochny cosmodrome this year with state support. — DecisionGateway"
description: "Two private satellites will be launched from Vostochny cosmodrome this year with state support. Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence."
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  "og:title": "Two private satellites will be launched from Vostochny cosmodrome this year with state support. — DecisionGateway"
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**Open**

/ [Decision](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1de41-2479-74f0-ad40-cc49d882fd1e)/closes 22 Nov 2026 15 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC

# **Two private satellites will be launched from Vostochny cosmodrome this year with state support.**

**82%**probability

as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC ·no change

[**Open decision **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1de41-2479-74f0-ad40-cc49d882fd1e) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1de6f-5e0b-7ba5-ba34-87f904c1835f)

**Resolves YES if**

Two private satellites will be launched from Vostochny cosmodrome this year with state support.

**Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track)

## **Probability history**

1 recorded point

now 82% · no change

## **What changed**

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

1. 15 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC**82%**—

   Probability updated.

## **Branches**

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

## **Target**

Decision

01a1de41-2479-74f0-ad40-cc49d882fd1e

[**Open decision **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1de41-2479-74f0-ad40-cc49d882fd1e)

## **Discussion**

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