Open
/Decision/closes 13 Nov 2026 15 Nov 2026, 08:29 UTC

The conceptual draft will be published on the Central Bank's official website for public discussion.

91%probability

as of 15 Nov 2026, 08:29 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

The conceptual draft will be published on the Central Bank's official website for public discussion.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 91% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 91%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1c8c6-715c-79b0-81d0-5ce6c2ad406e

Open decision

Discussion

0/2000

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