--- title: "Will Jordan's government refer its draft anti-terrorism law amendments to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026? — DecisionGateway" description: "Will Jordan's government refer its draft anti-terrorism law amendments to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1dde5-b6d5-7027-ab16-6b0515892572" meta: "og:description": "Will Jordan's government refer its draft anti-terrorism law amendments to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "Will Jordan's government refer its draft anti-terrorism law amendments to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026? — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) **Open** / [Decision](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1dd79-538a-747a-9894-300399429e11)/closes 24 Nov 2026 15 Nov 2026, 06:29 UTC # **Will Jordan's government refer its draft anti-terrorism law amendments to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026?** **72%**probability as of 15 Nov 2026, 06:29 UTC ·no change [**Open decision **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1dd79-538a-747a-9894-300399429e11) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1dde5-b6d5-7027-ab16-6b0515892572) **Resolves YES if** YES if a dated report, official statement (Petra / Jordan Prime Ministry) or House record shows the Cabinet's anti-terrorism amendment package (the "first package" decided at the 8 November 2026 Cabinet session, raising minimum terrorism penalties from 5 to 10/15 years and barring early release) was transmitted/referred to the House of Representatives on or before 22 November 2026. NO if no such referral is documented by the deadline, or if the government publicly postpones the referral past 22 November 2026. **Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track) ## **Probability history** 1 recorded point now 72% · no change ## **What changed** Real moves and re-assessments, newest first. 1. 15 Nov 2026, 06:29 UTC**72%**— Probability updated. ## **Branches** Alternatives with their own deadline and condition. mutually exclusive - closes 24 Nov 2026 exclusive Open [**Jordan's draft anti-terrorism amendments will NOT be referred to the House of Representatives by 22 November 2026**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1dde6-15db-7891-be93-01d6bc4175dd) YES if, as of 24 November 2026, no dated report, official statement or House record documents the referral of the Cabinet's 8 November 2026 anti-terrorism amendment package to the House of Representatives, or if the government publicly postpones the referral past 22 November 2026.**28%** probability ## **Target** Decision 01a1dd79-538a-747a-9894-300399429e11 [**Open decision **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1dd79-538a-747a-9894-300399429e11) ## **Discussion** ## **Related forecasts** Same kind only, ranked by embedding similarity to this record. 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