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/Decision/closes 13 Nov 2026 15 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC

the exchange will launch trading of sunflower oil options with underlying contracts for May and July 2027.

91%probability

as of 15 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC ·no change

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Resolves YES if

the exchange will launch trading of sunflower oil options with underlying contracts for May and July 2027.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 91% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 91%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1d367-3868-7a5a-8259-07555073cd31

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Discussion

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