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/Decision/closes 13 Nov 2026 15 Nov 2026, 00:16 UTC

Anthropic expects to receive net proceeds of $93.7 billion.

91%probability

as of 15 Nov 2026, 00:16 UTC ·no change

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Resolves YES if

Anthropic expects to receive net proceeds of $93.7 billion.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 91% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 91%—

    Probability updated.

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Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

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Decision

01a1d245-330b-701b-aac4-2e55f7c850c7

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0/2000

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