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/Decision/closes 13 Nov 2026 14 Nov 2026, 23:30 UTC

Platforms that fail to comply with obligations will face sanctions proportional to their revenue.

87%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 23:30 UTC ·no change

Open decision API record

Resolves YES if

Platforms that fail to comply with obligations will face sanctions proportional to their revenue.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 87% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 87%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1c74d-82b6-78f2-a65b-e50af2437f27

Open decision

Discussion

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