---
title: "Anthropic plans to issue 801.4 million new shares and existing shareholders will sell 23.6 million shares. — DecisionGateway"
description: "Anthropic plans to issue 801.4 million new shares and existing shareholders will sell 23.6 million shares. Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence."
canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1dc4a-0c2d-7569-bca0-a4e6c4a6612e"
meta:
  "og:description": "Anthropic plans to issue 801.4 million new shares and existing shareholders will sell 23.6 million shares. Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence."
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  "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black"
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  "og:title": "Anthropic plans to issue 801.4 million new shares and existing shareholders will sell 23.6 million shares. — DecisionGateway"
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---

> Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt)

**Open**

/ [Decision](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1d245-330b-701b-aac4-2e55f7c850c7)/closes 13 Nov 2026 14 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC

# **Anthropic plans to issue 801.4 million new shares and existing shareholders will sell 23.6 million shares.**

**91%**probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC ·no change

[**Open decision **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1d245-330b-701b-aac4-2e55f7c850c7) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1dc4a-0c2d-7569-bca0-a4e6c4a6612e)

**Resolves YES if**

Anthropic plans to issue 801.4 million new shares and existing shareholders will sell 23.6 million shares.

**Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track)

## **Probability history**

1 recorded point

now 91% · no change

## **What changed**

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

1. 14 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC**91%**—

   Probability updated.

## **Branches**

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

## **Target**

Decision

01a1d245-330b-701b-aac4-2e55f7c850c7

[**Open decision **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1d245-330b-701b-aac4-2e55f7c850c7)

## **Discussion**

[Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 0 branches

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