Open
/Decision/closes 13 Nov 2026 14 Nov 2026, 22:30 UTC

Anthropic and some of its shareholders plan to raise up to $64.4 billion through an initial public offering.

91%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 22:30 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

Anthropic and some of its shareholders plan to raise up to $64.4 billion through an initial public offering.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 91% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 91%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1d245-330b-701b-aac4-2e55f7c850c7

Open decision

Discussion

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