Open
/Decision/closes 13 Nov 2026 14 Nov 2026, 22:10 UTC

The Sumar (Mandali) border crossing will be temporarily closed for technical work and maintenance.

75%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 22:10 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

The Sumar (Mandali) border crossing will be temporarily closed for technical work and maintenance.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 75% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 75%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1c980-9660-7567-a99c-6a114efe8634

Open decision

Discussion

0/2000