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/Decision/closes 19 Nov 2026 14 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC

Local elections in Taiwan for mayors and district chiefs are scheduled for November 28.

81%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 21:30 UTC ·no change

Open decision API record

Resolves YES if

Local elections in Taiwan for mayors and district chiefs are scheduled for November 28.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 81% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 81%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1cde4-2b42-788c-be2c-aa4574b802ab

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