---
title: "Will the 19 November 2026 Senate hearing be postponed, or will only one of Murkomen and Kanja appear? — DecisionGateway"
description: "Will the 19 November 2026 Senate hearing be postponed, or will only one of Murkomen and Kanja appear? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence."
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> Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt)

**Open**

/Event/closes 20 Nov 2026 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

# **Will the 19 November 2026 Senate hearing be postponed, or will only one of Murkomen and Kanja appear?**

**40%**probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC ·no change

[**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1da6c-a1f3-7caa-9f98-4529f9dc14bc)

**Resolves YES if**

YES if by 23:59 EAT on 20 November 2026 either (a) neither Murkomen nor Kanja has appeared before the Senate Committee on National Security, Defence and Foreign Relations, or (b) only one of the two has appeared, or (c) the 19 November sitting was postponed to a date after 20 November 2026. Resolution source: dated Nation Africa / The Standard / Kenyan Tribune / Capital FM report or the Senate Order Paper.

Branch of [Will Kenya's Interior CS Kipchumba Murkomen and IG Douglas Kanja both appear before the Senate National Security Committee on 19 November 2026 over abductions?](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1da6c-873d-70aa-9246-8ca23c2bbc19)(Open)

**Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track)

## **Probability history**

1 recorded point

now 40% · no change

## **What changed**

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

1. 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC**40%**—

   Probability updated.

## **Branches**

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

mutually exclusive

- this page closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive Open [**Will the 19 November 2026 Senate hearing be postponed, or will only one of Murkomen and Kanja appear?**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1da6c-a1f3-7caa-9f98-4529f9dc14bc)

  YES if by 23:59 EAT on 20 November 2026 either (a) neither Murkomen nor Kanja has appeared before the Senate Committee on National Security, Defence and Foreign Relations, or (b) only one of the two has appeared, or (c) the 19 November sitting was postponed to a date after 20 November 2026. Resolution source: dated Nation Africa / The Standard / Kenyan Tribune / Capital FM report or the Senate Order Paper.**40%** probability

## **Target**

Event

—

## **Discussion**

[Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 0 branches

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