Will Kenya's Interior CS Kipchumba Murkomen and IG Douglas Kanja both appear before the Senate National Security Committee on 19 November 2026 over abductions?
as of 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if both Interior Cabinet Secretary Kipchumba Murkomen and Inspector General of Police Douglas Kanja appear in person before Kenya's Senate Committee on National Security, Defence and Foreign Relations (chair: Isiolo Senator Fatuma Dullo) on 19 November 2026, or at a sitting of that committee on or before 20 November 2026, to answer questions on abductions. Resolution source: a dated report by Nation Africa, The Standard, Kenyan Tribune, Capital FM or KBC, or the Senate's published Order Paper/committee schedule. NO if neither appears by 20 November 2026, if only one of the two appears, or if the sitting is postponed to a later date.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 60% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 60%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
- closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill the 19 November 2026 Senate hearing be postponed, or will only one of Murkomen and Kanja appear?
YES if by 23:59 EAT on 20 November 2026 either (a) neither Murkomen nor Kanja has appeared before the Senate Committee on National Security, Defence and Foreign Relations, or (b) only one of the two has appeared, or (c) the 19 November sitting was postponed to a date after 20 November 2026. Resolution source: dated Nation Africa / The Standard / Kenyan Tribune / Capital FM report or the Senate Order Paper.
40%probability
- closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive OpenWill the 19 November 2026 Senate hearing be postponed, or will only one of Murkomen and Kanja appear?
YES if by 23:59 EAT on 20 November 2026 either (a) neither Murkomen nor Kanja has appeared before the Senate Committee on National Security, Defence and Foreign Relations, or (b) only one of the two has appeared, or (c) the 19 November sitting was postponed to a date after 20 November 2026. Resolution source: dated Nation Africa / The Standard / Kenyan Tribune / Capital FM report or the Senate Order Paper.
40%probability
Target
Event
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