Open
/Event/closes 4 Dec 2026 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Will Jazeera Airways operate its first direct Kuwait–Yerevan passenger flight on 3 December 2026, as announced?

88%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

YES if Jazeera Airways operates a scheduled direct passenger flight between Kuwait International Airport (KWI) and Yerevan Zvartnots (EVN) on 3 December 2026, or on any date on or before 4 December 2026, as the first flight of the announced relaunch. Resolution source: a dated report by arka.am, Armenpress, the Armenian Civil Aviation Committee, or Jazeera Airways' own schedule/press release confirming the flight operated (or flight-tracking evidence of the KWI–EVN rotation). NO if no such flight operates by 4 December 2026, or the relaunch is postponed to a later date.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 88% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 88%—

    Probability updated.

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01a1c9c9-e932-7d82-a169-800b1dd12bcd

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