--- title: "Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)? — DecisionGateway" description: "Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1da6c-300a-7ced-9db7-41c2a8782d62" meta: "og:description": "Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)? — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) **Open** / [Event](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1d0f7-c6e5-73b3-ae32-a2e9595fedd8)/closes 20 Nov 2026 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC # **Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)?** **10%**probability as of 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC ·no change [**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1d0f7-c6e5-73b3-ae32-a2e9595fedd8) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1da6c-300a-7ced-9db7-41c2a8782d62) **Resolves YES if** YES if no second-reading vote on the 2027–2029 federal budget package has taken place by 23:59 MSK on 20 November 2026 — i.e. the 19 November plenary is cancelled, the item is pulled from the agenda, the reading is rescheduled to a later date, or the package is returned to first reading. Resolution source: dated RIA/Interfax/TASS/Vedomosti/Kommersant report or the Duma's published agenda for 19–20 November 2026. Branch of [Will Russia's State Duma adopt the 2027–2029 federal budget package in second reading at its 19 November 2026 plenary session, or by 20 November 2026?](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1da6c-11be-711a-8150-b8de654df25b)(Open) **Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track) ## **Probability history** 1 recorded point now 10% · no change ## **What changed** Real moves and re-assessments, newest first. 1. 14 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC**10%**— Probability updated. ## **Branches** Alternatives with their own deadline and condition. mutually exclusive - this page closes 20 Nov 2026 exclusive Open [**Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)?**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1da6c-300a-7ced-9db7-41c2a8782d62) YES if no second-reading vote on the 2027–2029 federal budget package has taken place by 23:59 MSK on 20 November 2026 — i.e. the 19 November plenary is cancelled, the item is pulled from the agenda, the reading is rescheduled to a later date, or the package is returned to first reading. Resolution source: dated RIA/Interfax/TASS/Vedomosti/Kommersant report or the Duma's published agenda for 19–20 November 2026.**10%** probability ## **Target** Event 01a1d0f7-c6e5-73b3-ae32-a2e9595fedd8 [**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1d0f7-c6e5-73b3-ae32-a2e9595fedd8) ## **Discussion** [Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 0 branches ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 4,500+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. Read free.","name":"DecisionGateway","url":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/","publisher":{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#identity"}},{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1da6c-300a-7ced-9db7-41c2a8782d62#webpage","@type":"WebPage","description":"Will the Duma's second reading of the 2027–2029 budget be postponed past 20 November 2026 (or the budget package be sent back to first reading)? 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