---
title: "Will Russia's government sign and publish the Mintrud resolution changing the \"unified benefit\" rules (account-turnover checks, 10-MROT minimum earnings) on or before 31 December 2026? — DecisionGateway"
description: "Will Russia's government sign and publish the Mintrud resolution changing the \"unified benefit\" rules (account-turnover checks, 10-MROT minimum earnings) on or before 31 December 2026? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence."
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meta:
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  "og:title": "Will Russia's government sign and publish the Mintrud resolution changing the \"unified benefit\" rules (account-turnover checks, 10-MROT minimum earnings) on or before 31 December 2026? — DecisionGateway"
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**Open**

/ [Decision](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1d990-d9cb-7e71-be51-99ecc5e7b556)/closes 31 Dec 2026 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC

# **Will Russia's government sign and publish the Mintrud resolution changing the "unified benefit" rules (account-turnover checks, 10-MROT minimum earnings) on or before 31 December 2026?**

**60%**probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC ·no change

[**Open decision **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1d990-d9cb-7e71-be51-99ecc5e7b556) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1d9f6-38d7-7d2c-9b8a-6b490ee2b222)

**Resolves YES if**

YES if the Russian Government (Prime Minister Mishustin) signs and publishes the resolution amending the rules for the monthly "unified benefit" (postanovlenie No. 2330 of 16.12.2022) — the draft published on regulation.gov.ru as project 172574, introducing account-turnover checks and the 10-MROT minimum-earnings rule — on or before 31 December 2026, evidenced by publication on publication.pravo.gov.ru or a dated government/agency announcement. NO if it is not signed and published by then, or is withdrawn.

**Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track)

## **Probability history**

1 recorded point

now 60% · no change

## **What changed**

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

1. 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC**60%**—

   Probability updated.

## **Branches**

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

## **Target**

Decision

01a1d990-d9cb-7e71-be51-99ecc5e7b556

[**Open decision **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/decisions/01a1d990-d9cb-7e71-be51-99ecc5e7b556)

## **Discussion**

[Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 0 branches

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