Will Russia's government sign and publish the Mintrud resolution changing the "unified benefit" rules (account-turnover checks, 10-MROT minimum earnings) on or before 31 December 2026?
as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC ·no change
Resolves YES if
YES if the Russian Government (Prime Minister Mishustin) signs and publishes the resolution amending the rules for the monthly "unified benefit" (postanovlenie No. 2330 of 16.12.2022) — the draft published on regulation.gov.ru as project 172574, introducing account-turnover checks and the 10-MROT minimum-earnings rule — on or before 31 December 2026, evidenced by publication on publication.pravo.gov.ru or a dated government/agency announcement. NO if it is not signed and published by then, or is withdrawn.
Probability history
1 recorded point
now 60% · no change
What changed
Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.
- 60%—
Probability updated.
Branches
Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.
No branches — a single binary question.