--- title: "Will Kyrgyzstan's Ala-Too Resort open the first phase of its Jyrgalan mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, as announced for 1 December? — DecisionGateway" description: "Will Kyrgyzstan's Ala-Too Resort open the first phase of its Jyrgalan mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, as announced for 1 December? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." canonical_url: "https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1d9f6-0a3e-7766-aea2-2b96706021c3" meta: "og:description": "Will Kyrgyzstan's Ala-Too Resort open the first phase of its Jyrgalan mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, as announced for 1 December? Probability, deadline, branches and resolution evidence." "og:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" "og:image:alt": "White network of connected nodes crossed by a timeline on black" "og:image:height": "1024" "og:image:width": "1024" "og:title": "Will Kyrgyzstan's Ala-Too Resort open the first phase of its Jyrgalan mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, as announced for 1 December? — DecisionGateway" "twitter:image": "https://dgw.tmarket.io/og.jpg" --- > Index of every page on this site: [llms.txt](https://dgw.tmarket.io/llms.txt) **Open** / [Event](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1ce66-9e4c-7aff-bd33-f91d9d92c0a5)/closes 2 Dec 2026 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC # **Will Kyrgyzstan's Ala-Too Resort open the first phase of its Jyrgalan mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, as announced for 1 December?** **75%**probability as of 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC ·no change [**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1ce66-9e4c-7aff-bd33-f91d9d92c0a5) [**API record **](https://dgw-api.tmarket.io/v1/forecasts/01a1d9f6-0a3e-7766-aea2-2b96706021c3) **Resolves YES if** YES if Ala-Too Resort OJSC / the Kyrgyz Cabinet opens the first phase of the Jyrgalan (Ala-Too Resort) mountain cluster to visitors on or before 2 December 2026 — evidenced by a dated report of the opening ceremony or of lifts/runs operating for guests. NO if the opening is formally postponed beyond 2 December 2026 or no opening takes place by then. **Model track record** Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 [ record](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts#track) ## **Probability history** 1 recorded point now 75% · no change ## **What changed** Real moves and re-assessments, newest first. 1. 14 Nov 2026, 12:09 UTC**75%**— Probability updated. ## **Branches** Alternatives with their own deadline and condition. mutually exclusive - closes 31 Dec 2026 exclusive Open [**Will the Ala-Too Resort first-phase opening slip past 2 December 2026 but still take place on or before 31 December 2026?**](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts/01a1d9f6-5b4d-7270-a360-808aabfe8f52) YES if the first phase of Ala-Too Resort's Jyrgalan cluster is not opened to visitors on or before 2 December 2026, but a dated report shows it opening (ceremony or lifts/runs operating for guests) between 3 December and 31 December 2026.**18%** probability ## **Target** Event 01a1ce66-9e4c-7aff-bd33-f91d9d92c0a5 [**Open event **](https://dgw.tmarket.io/events/01a1ce66-9e4c-7aff-bd33-f91d9d92c0a5) ## **Discussion** [Back to forecasts](https://dgw.tmarket.io/forecasts) 1 branch ```json {"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@id":"https://dgw.tmarket.io/#website","@type":"WebSite","description":"Decisions, events and falsifiable forecasts from 4,000+ Telegram channels — every claim cited. 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