Open
/Decision/closes 13 Dec 2026 14 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

i 茅台平台 will optimize the sales mechanism for 贵州茅台酒, shifting from “定时抢购” to “日常售卖” mode.

91%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

i 茅台平台 will optimize the sales mechanism for 贵州茅台酒, shifting from “定时抢购” to “日常售卖” mode.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 91% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 91%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1d252-2666-7f69-880f-8c24de8d1b03

Open decision

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