Open
/Decision/closes 11 Dec 2026 14 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC

The permitted flight frequency between Tashkent and Almaty, and between Tashkent and Astana, will rise from 42 to 60 flights per week on each route.

91%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

The permitted flight frequency between Tashkent and Almaty, and between Tashkent and Astana, will rise from 42 to 60 flights per week on each route.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 91% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 91%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1c857-3d83-7f17-90e6-e01e92594187

Open decision

Discussion

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