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/Decision/closes 1 Jan 2027 14 Nov 2026, 06:30 UTC

More than 500,000 contract and temporary workers will be confirmed in the 2027 budget.

93%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 06:30 UTC ·no change

Open decision API record

Resolves YES if

More than 500,000 contract and temporary workers will be confirmed in the 2027 budget.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 93% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 93%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1d093-a460-7971-a609-791019a57b7b

Open decision

Discussion

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