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/Decision/closes 1 Jan 2027 14 Nov 2026, 06:11 UTC

The Minister of Finance will eliminate the minimum tax on turnover (IMCA) starting in 2027.

94%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 06:11 UTC ·no change

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Resolves YES if

The Minister of Finance will eliminate the minimum tax on turnover (IMCA) starting in 2027.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 94% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 94%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1cd8d-881a-7961-9505-7497f78ebae1

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