Open
/Decision/closes 1 Jul 2027 14 Nov 2026, 06:11 UTC

Cirque du Soleil will return to the Chinese market with the touring show Kurios in July 2027.

97%probability

as of 14 Nov 2026, 06:11 UTC ·no change

Resolves YES if

Cirque du Soleil will return to the Chinese market with the touring show Kurios in July 2027.

Model track record Brier 0.054 · 19 scored · 3 resolved · coin-flip 0.250 record

Probability history

1 recorded point

now 97% · no change

What changed

Real moves and re-assessments, newest first.

  1. 97%—

    Probability updated.

Branches

Alternatives with their own deadline and condition.

No branches — a single binary question.

Target

Decision

01a1cdd7-7a1f-7ef1-af7b-515dbac32aeb

Open decision

Discussion

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